Volcanoes guide

Volcano Alert Levels and the VEI: How Eruption Danger Is Measured

When a volcano starts to stir, the observatory watching it raises its alert level. Here is what those levels and colours mean, how scientists measure the size of an eruption, and how many volcanoes are erupting at any time.

Updated 4 November 2026

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Two kinds of alert

Many observatories give each volcano two ratings: one for people on the ground and one for aircraft, because volcanic ash can damage jet engines far from the volcano itself.

In the United States, the US Geological Survey uses these:

Ground alert levelAviation colour codeMeaning
NormalGreenThe volcano is in its usual quiet state
AdvisoryYellowSigns of unrest above the usual level, such as more earthquakes, ground swelling or gas
WatchOrangeUnrest is increasing and an eruption is possible, or a minor eruption is under way
WarningRedA dangerous eruption is under way or expected soon

The aviation colour codes are used around the world. The ground levels differ from country to country: Indonesia, Japan, the Philippines, Italy and others have their own systems, some with four levels and some with five. A level is always set by the national observatory, which knows that volcano best.

What observatories watch

  • Earthquakes: swarms of small quakes as rising magma breaks rock.
  • Ground movement: the volcano swelling or sinking, measured by GPS and by satellite radar to within millimetres.
  • Gas: more sulphur dioxide and carbon dioxide coming out as magma nears the surface.
  • Heat: hot spots seen by thermal cameras and satellites.

Unrest doesn't always end in an eruption. Many volcanoes rise to yellow or orange and calm down again without erupting.

How big was the eruption? The VEI

The Volcanic Explosivity Index (VEI) rates explosive eruptions from 0 to 8, mainly by how much rock and ash they throw out and how high the plume rises. From VEI 2 upwards, each step means about 10 times more material.

VEIAsh and rock eruptedExample
0–1Less than 0.001 km³Lava fountains and flows in Hawaii and Iceland
2–30.001–0.1 km³Frequent explosive eruptions at Etna and Sakurajima
4At least 0.1 km³Eyjafjallajökull, Iceland, 2010, which closed much of Europe's airspace
5At least 1 km³Mount St Helens, USA, 1980; Vesuvius, AD 79
6At least 10 km³Pinatubo, Philippines, 1991, which cooled the planet by about half a degree
7At least 100 km³Tambora, Indonesia, 1815, followed by the "year without a summer"
8At least 1,000 km³Toba, Sumatra, about 74,000 years ago

Most eruptions are VEI 2 or smaller. A VEI 6 happens a few times a century; nothing of VEI 8 has happened in recorded history.

How many volcanoes are erupting?

About 1,350 volcanoes on land are considered potentially active, and roughly 50 to 70 of them erupt in a typical year. At any moment a few dozen are in eruption, many of them for months or years at a time. The Smithsonian Institution's Global Volcanism Program and the USGS publish a weekly report of new and ongoing activity, and the Volcano app shows it alongside each volcano's latest alert level.

Not an official warning service. In an emergency, follow your local authorities.

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Good to know

Quick answers

What does a yellow alert mean for a volcano?

The volcano is showing signs of unrest above its normal background, such as more earthquakes, ground swelling or gas. It does not mean an eruption is about to happen.

What is the difference between the alert level and the aviation colour code?

The alert level is about danger on the ground. The aviation colour code is about ash in the air and the risk to aircraft, which can be high even when people on the ground are safe.

What is the biggest volcanic eruption in recorded history?

The eruption of Tambora in Indonesia in 1815, rated VEI 7. Its ash and gas cooled the world, and 1816 became known as the year without a summer.

How many volcanoes are erupting right now?

Usually a few dozen at any one time. Roughly 50 to 70 volcanoes erupt in a typical year.

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